Oklahoma City Thunder — Phoenix Suns

NBAOctober 27, 202601:00

Oklahoma CityThunder

Win

Form:WWW

Final score

125114

PhoenixSuns

Form:LLW

Full match analysis

Analysis based on statistics, team form and key factors

Analysis summary

Updated 11:30

Favourite by statistics: Oklahoma City Thunder — 97%

Confidence: medium
97%3%
  • Stronger over the season
  • Better form: 3 of 3
  • Plays at home

Over the last 3 games the average point margin: Oklahoma City Thunder +10.3, Phoenix Suns −11.7. Oklahoma City Thunder plays at home; Oklahoma City Thunder is on the second night of a back-to-back.

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Match factors

  • Team strengthOklahoma City Thunder stronger by about 24.5 ptsOklahoma City Thunder5/5
  • Form (last 5)OKC: 3 of 3 · PHX: 1 of 3Oklahoma City Thunder3/5
  • Home / awayOklahoma City Thunder at homeOklahoma City Thunder2/5
  • Rest and fatigueOklahoma City Thunder: back-to-backPhoenix Suns3/5
  • InjuriesOklahoma City Thunder: −46.4 pts per game lost to injuriesPhoenix Suns5/5
  • Head-to-head1 of 1 — Oklahoma City ThunderOklahoma City Thunder2/5
  • MotivationEarly season — not a factor=1/5

Statistical forecast

Expected score≈ 115 : 102
Expected pacelow

Calculated from team statistics, not from odds.

Who is stronger

Team strength from the stats and current form.

97%3%

Expected margin: OKC +24.5

A strength estimate, not odds.

Team form

Last 5 results and the current run.

  • WWW3 wins in a row
  • LLW1 win in 2 games

Fatigue and schedule

Rest days, schedule density and road trips.

  • No rest day

    Second game in a row

  • 1 day of rest

    Last game: Oct 25

Injuries

Key absent players.

PlayerStatusMinPts
Jalen WilliamsOut31.713.7
Chet HolmgrenOut30.012.0
Alex CarusoOut19.09.2
Cason WallaceOut16.36.3
Nikola TopicOut16.05.2
Thomas SorberOut——

Official NBA report · Oct 31, 11:01

Head to head

Recent meetings.

  • 10/27/2026125 : 114

Motivation

Standings and what the game means.

  • 4 place · 4-1

    Early season — motivation is normal, not a factor.

  • 11 place · 1-3

    Early season — motivation is normal, not a factor.

Statistical forecast

Expected score≈ 115 : 102
Expected pacelow

Calculated from team statistics, not from odds.